Outside days
can occur frequently on daily charts. The
secret of the outside day is the bigger the
better and it has more meaning if found at
the end of a trend.
They can be
short lived and I always take my profit
quickly. The outside day (OD) should
completely encompass the previous day. It
must have a higher high than the previous
day and a lower low than the previous day.
One of the
most important things about this pattern is
that the bar closes in the opposite
direction of the trend. If the trend is down
the close on the OD must be near the high or
in the upper part of the bar. The opposite
is true of the up trend. The OD may still
work if this is not the case but my research
show that it is more effective if it does
close in the opposite direction.
A great
example of this happened on the cash Dow
only a few days ago (24th July 02, refer to
chart). I like to trade this in two ways.
First, depending on what the market has been
doing prior to the outside day I will place
a entry order a few ticks above the high of
the OD if the trend has been down and I am
looking to get long. Once I am in the market
I will place my stop loss either as a dollar
amount or at the .618 fibonacci retracement
of the OD.
If you don't
know anything about fibonacci don't worry,
we will cover that in future lessons. The
same applies to the short trade. If the OD
occurred at the end of an up trend and I am
trying to get short, I will place my entry
order a few ticks below the low of the OD.
Once taken short I will place my stop loss
order in the same way as the long trade,
either as a dollar amount or as the .618
fibonacci retracement.
The second
way I like to trade this pattern is to trade
it intraday. I closely monitor what happens
at the high of the OD if I intend to go long
and the low of the OD if I intend to go
short.
Once the high
or low has been taken as the case may be I
will then enter the market on a 5 minute or
1 minute chart. For long position I will buy
the first retracement with a tight stop loss
order under an intraday support and if
trying to get short I will sell the first
rally with a stop loss order above an
intraday resistance.
Below are two
examples of Outside Days. The first occurred
at the end of a down trend (First Chart) and
the second occurred at the end of an up
trend (Second Chart).