Rectangles
can occur in any time frame and any market
you are following. As with many chart
patterns the pattern is in the eye of the
beholder. I have found that some traders are
better than others at identifying chart
patterns. It may take some time before you
can spot the most common patterns.
The rectangle
contains price movement between two points
in a rectangular shape to which we add lines
to signify the upper boundary and lower
boundary. These lines should be horizontal.
Slanted rectangle will most probably fall
into the realm of ''Flags'', which we will
discus in another lesson.
The top line
should connect at least two bars and the
bottom line should connect at least two
bars. As most markets are in congestion most
of the time rectangles are fairly common.
It is not
necessary to draw the top and lower lines at
the extreme of the congestion points but
rather make sure the lines contain at least
95% of the congestion area. The longer the
rectangle continues the more important the
breakout.
To help
identify a valid breakout there should be an
increase in volume on the day (or time
period) of the breakout. The breakout can
occur in either direction but if you are in
a defined up trend then an upside breakout
is favored and vise versa for a down trend.
If I am in a defined trend then I tend to
view this pattern as a continuation patter
unless it starts to break the other way.
There are a
number of ways to trade the rectangle. You
can buy or sell the breakout as it happens
or you can wait to see if there is a
pullback to the neckline (see charts). Once
you have defined the rectangle you can also
buy and sell at the boundaries of the
rectangle. I prefer to buy at the lower
boundary if in an up trend and sell at the
upper boundary if in a down trend. This can
be a very effective trade as the risk is
small. If you sell at the upper boundary
then your stop loss can be close to the
boundary and vise versa for the long trade
at the lower boundary.
If you sell
the breakout place your protective stop
inside the rectangle and do the same for
buying the upside breakout. You can also
measure the distance between the upper and
lower boundaries and project the distance
forward to get an indication of the size of
the next move. If the distance from the
upper to the lower boundary were 20 ticks
then I would expect the next move to be at
least 20 ticks.
